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Multi-Sector Needs Assessment of Hosting Communities Across the Kurdistan Region of Iraq, March 2015

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Before any attempt at analysis is made, it is important to briefly take note of context. Territories under the control of the Kurdistan Regional Government have absorbed multiple bouts of large scale, protracted external and internal displacement. The latest, and most severe round, was internal and although caused by the spillover of conflict from neighbouring Syria, displaced an estimated 1.6 million individuals. An estimated 1.2 million of these individuals now reside in the KRI, scattered across areas already hosting significant numbers of Syrian refugees. Since then, no comprehensive attempt has been made to assess or even establish a baseline to document and gauge the effects of these crises on the hosting communities of the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI).

This report presents findings and analysis across the sectors of demographics, livelihoods, food security, education, health as well as social cohesion for hosting communities across 22 districts of the KRI. Key findings from the assessment include, but are by no means limited to, the following:

 Demographics: Minors under the age of 18 constitute 65% of all individuals, whilst minors under the age of 12 account for a third (30%) of the host community population, thus indicating a high rate of dependency and highlighting a very young population. The proportion of dependents relative to the economically active is highest in Dahuk, in particular the KRG-administered districts of Ninewa. Nearly 5% of households were female-headed, reaching 6% in KRG-administered Diyala.

 Livelihoods: Over 20% of households relied on the public sector as their primary source of livelihood, whilst 16% relied on the public security sector for an income. This means that the public sector (as measured through civil service and security agency employment) accounts for over a third (36%) of primary livelihood sources across the KRI. This is followed by agriculture, which accounted for the primary livelihoods of 20% of households; the proportion engaged in agriculture was highest in Sulaymaniyah governorate (where 25% derived their income from it) and lowest in Erbil where less than 10% did. Incomes were highest in Erbil (over 1000 USD) and lowest in Sulaymaniyah (600 USD); the opposite is true for debt loads. Although child labour rates are lower across the KRI (an estimated 4%), they reach a high of 10% in Sulaymaniyah and 27% in Khanaqin district of Diyala governorate.

 Food Security: Food insecurity was not found to be prevalent at all, with less than 1% of households falling below the acceptable threshold for food consumption. Over 60% of households relied on store or market bought food as a primary food source, whilst nearly a third (32%) relied on government assistance. The rate of dependence on government assistance was highest in Sulaymaniyah, where 45% relied on the government to source food. That said, where dependence was greatest, food consumption patterns and nutritional intake were also lowest; residents of Sulaymaniyah have, on average, a 15 point lower Food Consumption Score than other parts of the KRI, indicating widespread, entrenched but likely moderate food access issues relative to the rest of the KRI.

 Education: Attendance rates in formal education are, at 93%, relatively high for all school-aged children. Rates of attendance were highest in Dahuk (despite the comparatively higher caseload of displaced populations) and lowest in Sulaymaniyah governorate, reaching a low of 75% in Khanaqin district. Sulaymaniyah also hosted the highest proportion of school-aged children attending triple-shifted schools, suggesting a deficit of education infrastructure across the governorate as a whole

 Health: Immunisation rates for polio and measles for at-risk minors aged 0-59 months were relatively high, but did vary considerably by district of residence. Rates of immunisation against polio stood at an estimated 82% across the KRI, reaching a low of 74% in Erbil and a high of 92% in Dahuk. The same pattern held for measles, albeit on a smaller scale; immunisation rates stood at 97% across the KRI, reaching a high of 100% in Dahuk and a low of 92% in Erbil, indicating inequalities in vaccination service coverage. Over a fifth (23%) of households were found to host pregnant and/or lactating women, making access to reproductive care essential. Whilst access to antenatal services was generally quite high (standing at nearly 90% of all pregnant women), access to postnatal care was much lower and was reportedly accessed by 73% of lactating women. Antenatal care access rates were generally much higher in Erbil (100% of women) and Sulaymaniyah (91% of women), but approximately 15-20 percentage points lower in Dahuk, indicating a service coverage gap in this governorate.

 Social Cohesion: Perceptions of hospitality towards displaced populations were generally favourable or neutral across the KRI as a whole. Over 60% of households held neutral views towards displaced subpopulations; interestingly, the proportion of households which felt that hospitality levels had decreased was not highest in areas hosting large numbers of displaced refugees and IDPs. In fact, the opposite is true, with perceived hospitality levels highest in Dahuk and lowest in Sulaymaniyah governorate. Conversely, perceived costs of basic needs followed a predictable trend; where the concentration of displaced individuals is highest (i.e. Dahuk and Ninewa governorates), the perception that the prices of basic needs have increased was also highest. While hospitality levels and inter-group cohesion are not reported to have declined significantly as a result of both displacement crises, perceived costs and increased labour market competition could become fault lines for future tensions. Generally, where there is a greater caseload of displaced persons, perceptions of increased competition over resources are also greater.

With mounting pressure on services, ever increasing resource scarcity and an institutional shift to a longer term approach fast emerging through the Humanitarian Response Framework, it is imperative that a coherent tool for vulnerability analysis is developed. Whilst inter-group cohesion – understood from the vantage point of hosting communities – does not appear to be under a great strain at present, this should be considered as a fortuitous state of affairs that could change significantly as long-term displacement exerts greater upward pressure on demand for services and competition for resources. With labour market saturation, the risk of deflation in real incomes and inflation of housing costs for particularly at-risk segments of the population, it is vital that humanitarian actors develop a clear and consistent understanding of the risks, constraints and above all, opportunities that the current status quo offers.