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Global Food Assistance Outlook Brief (October 2017)
Description: This month's overview summarizes FEWS NET’s most forward-looking analysis of projected emergency food assistance needs in FEWS NET coverage countries, including East Africa, West Africa, Southern Africa, and Latin America and the Caribbean. Looking ahead to April 2018, the greatest number of people are facing acute food insecurity in Yemen, Ethiopia, South Sudan, Afghanistan, and Nigeria. Conflict remains the primary driver of food insecurity in several of these countries. Additionally, a risk of Famine (IPC Phase 5) continues in northeast Nigeria, South Sudan, Somalia, and Yemen. Recent forecast models have shown an increased likelihood that a La Niña event will occur between fall 2017 and spring 2018, while the presence of fall armyworm has been confirmed in 28 countries in Africa.
  27 Oct 2017   7m2s 0 31 0
Global Food Assistance Outlook Brief (September 2017)
Description: This month's overview summarizes FEWS NET’s most forward-looking analysis of projected emergency food assistance needs in FEWS NET coverage countries, including East Africa, West Africa, Southern Africa, and Latin America and the Caribbean. Looking ahead to March 2018, overall needs are expected to decline in Central America and the Caribbean, Southern Africa, and most parts of West Africa. However, needs remain high in Yemen, northeast Nigeria, Somalia, South Sudan, and to some extent Ethiopia.
  17 Oct 2017   5m49s 0 29 0
East Africa Food Security Outlook (July 2017 - January 2018)
Description: To project food security outcomes, FEWS NET develops a set of assumptions about likely events, their effects, and the probable responses of various actors. FEWS NET analyzes these assumptions in the context of current conditions and local livelihoods to arrive at a most likely scenario for the coming six months.
  29 Sep 2017   8m36s 2 46 0
Global Food Assistance Outlook Brief (August 2017)
Description: This month's overview summarizes FEWS NET’s most forward-looking analysis of projected emergency food assistance needs in FEWS NET coverage countries, including East Africa, West Africa, Southern Africa, and Latin America and the Caribbean. In February 2018 humanitarian assistance needs are expected to be highest in Yemen, Nigeria, DRC, and Afghanistan, while a risk of Famine (IPC Phase 5) remains in Nigeria, South Sudan, Somalia, and Yemen. In Southern Africa, above average 2017 harvests are likely to lead to favorable conditions in many areas of the region for regeneration of household stocks, agricultural labor, and market supply.
  20 Sep 2017   6m22s 1 97 0
Introduction to Scenario Development
Description: At FEWS NET, we use a methodology known as scenario development to assist in projecting food insecurity and future food assistance needs. FEWS NET has adapted common scenario building concepts to help analysts make sense of the complex food security landscape. Our process provides a logical structure to think through the interactions among the many variables that affect food security. At FEWS NET, scenario development is the methodology we use to make projections about acute food insecurity outcomes. This approach is the basis of the analysis presented in our food security outlooks and updates. Scenario development allows FEWS NET to meet its core mandate of giving decision makers early warning about potential food security crises.
  21 Sep 2017   8m29s 8 735 0
Southern Africa Food Security Outlook (July 2017 - January 2018)
Description: To project food security outcomes, FEWS NET develops a set of assumptions about likely events, their effects, and the probable responses of various actors. FEWS NET analyzes these assumptions in the context of current conditions and local livelihoods to arrive at a most likely scenario for the coming six months.
  27 Jul 2017   6m23s 0 32 0
Global Food Assistance Outlook Brief (July 2017)
Description: This month's overview summarizes FEWS NET’s most forward-looking analysis of projected emergency food assistance needs in FEWS NET coverage countries, including East Africa, West Africa, Southern Africa, and Latin America and the Caribbean. Large needs will persist in parts of Yemen, Nigeria, South Sudan, Ethiopia, and Somalia where conflict, and the impacts of drought on pastoralists will continue to drive acute food insecurity. A confirmed presence of fall armyworm in parts of West, East, and Southern Africa is likely to affect crop production. FEWS NET will continue to monitor the situation in the coming months. An El Nino is no longer anticipated to occur in the coming months and seasonal forecasts indicate average to above-average rainfall in parts of the Horn of Africa during both the June-September and October-December rainy seasons. This should have positive implications for livestock production, agricultural production, and livestock-to-cereals terms of trade. However, in pastoral areas where significant livestock sales and deaths occurred due to drought, several consecutive good rainy seasons are needed before herd sizes return to normal and food access improves.
  24 Jul 2017   5m33s 2 36 0
Global Food Assistance Outlook Brief (June 2017)
Description: This month's overview summarizes FEWS NET’s most forward-looking analysis of projected emergency food assistance needs in FEWS NET coverage countries, including East Africa, West Africa, Southern Africa, and Latin America and the Caribbean. The risk of famine remains high in Yemen, South Sudan, Nigeria, and Somalia. Additionally, based on new information and events of the past six months, the total size of the food insecure population has risen from 70 to 81 million people. Roughly three quarters of these needs will occur between June and September. We recently updated the 2017 food assistance needs map, and continuously provide updates on over 30 countries, all of which are available on www.fews.net.
  12 Jul 2017   5m48s 1 27 0
Global Food Assistance Outlook Brief (May 2017)
Description: This month's overview summarizes FEWS NET’s most forward-looking analysis of projected emergency food assistance needs in FEWS NET coverage countries, including East Africa, West Africa, Southern Africa, and Latin America and the Caribbean. The risk of famine remains high in parts of South Sudan, the Horn of Africa, Nigeria,, and Yemen where conflict is the main driver of food insecurity, while in other areas typical seasonal improvements in food security have reduced assistance needs. We recently updated the 2017 food assistance needs map, and continuously provide updates on over 30 countries, all of which are available on www.fews.net.
  11 Jul 2017   6m41s 0 23 0
East Africa Food Security Outlook (February - September 2017)
Description: To project food security outcomes, FEWS NET develops a set of assumptions about likely events, their effects, and the probable responses of various actors. FEWS NET analyzes these assumptions in the context of current conditions and local livelihoods to arrive at a most likely scenario for the coming six months.
  19 May 2017   8m43s 1 68 0
Southern Africa Food Security Outlook (February - September 2017)
Description: To project food security outcomes, FEWS NET develops a set of assumptions about likely events, their effects, and the probable responses of various actors. FEWS NET analyzes these assumptions in the context of current conditions and local livelihoods to arrive at a most likely scenario for the coming six months.
  11 May 2017   7m35s 1 27 0
West Africa Food Security Outlook (February - September 2017)
Description: To project food security outcomes, FEWS NET develops a set of assumptions about likely events, their effects, and the probable responses of various actors. FEWS NET analyzes these assumptions in the context of current conditions and local livelihoods to arrive at a most likely scenario for the coming six months.
  11 May 2017   10m36s 0 43 0