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18 Jan 2010 description

HIGHLIGHTS

Outlook Highlights

- Largely normal to abovenormal rainfall is expected across northern half of continental SADC, Madagascar and Mauritius. Floods are a threat in these areas

- Below-normal to normal with longer than normal dry spells rainfall conditions are likely in the remainder of the subregion.

SUMMARY

The rains have been episodic in many parts of SADC. The satellite picture of 18 January 2010 at 1200 hours (UTC) shows extensive areas of light shading depicting intense cloudiness and precipitation.

26 Mar 2009 description

Outlook Highlights

- Normal to above - normal rainfall is expected over Mauritius, northern Madagascar and most parts of continental SADC.

- Northern DRC and northern and eastern Tanzania, and the southwest of contiguous SADC should experience normal to below normal rainfall.

SUMMARY

Moderate to heavy rains have persisted in across most of SADC countries during the peak of the season. Consequently, flash floods have occurred in places. Meantime, the April to June 2009 rainfall projections for SADC are mostly normal to above-normal.

06 Sep 2002 description


CLIMATE OUTLOOK (October 2002 - March 2003)

1.1 SUMMARY

06 Sep 2002 description


STATEMENT FROM THE SIXTH SOUTHERN AFRICA REGIONAL CLIMATE OUTLOOK FORUM (SARCOF-6), HELD IN HARARE, ZIMBABWE 4 TO 6 SEPTEMBER 2002

1.1 SUMMARY

17 May 2002 description


Period: 1 - 10 May 2002
Review of the rainfall situation

Moderate rainfall over northeastern Tanzania.

This is the last bulletin for the season.

Tropical Cyclone Kesiny is no longer active.

Outlook Highlights

Moderate rainfall expected over northeastern and coastal belt of Tanzania and northern DRC.

For, most of SADC, rainfall season has come to an end.

FORECAST SUMMARY

Moderate rainfall is expected over north eastern and coastal belt of Tanzania and northern DRC.

06 May 2002 description


Period: 21 - 30 April 2002
Review of the rainfall situation

Above normal rainfall over Namibia and northern Tanzania.

Data not received from Angola, Botswana, Mauritius, Swaziland, South Africa and Zambia.

The southern parts of the SADC are in transition period (Summer - Winter).

Tropical Cyclone Kesiny is currently active.

Outlook Highlights

Northern parts of Tanzania, northern Angola and most of DRC are expected to have moderate rainfall.

Likelihood of Tropical Cyclone Kesiny affecting some of the SADC countries.

28 Mar 2002 description


HIGHLIGHTS

Significantly below-normal rainfall affected most of Botswana and western Zimbabwe from the month of December to February.

Rain continues in the northeastern sector.

Normal to above normal rainfall is expected for northern sector and Island States.

Central parts of the subregion expects normal to below normal as the rainy season terminates.

SUMMARY OF DECEMBER 2001 - FEBRUARY 2002 RAINFALL PERFORMANCE

24 Mar 2002 description


HIGHLIGHTS

Significantly below-normal rainfall affected most of Botswana and western Zimbabwe from the month of December to February.

Rain continues in the northeastern sector.

Normal to above normal rainfall is expected for northern sector and Island States.

Central parts of the subregion expects normal to below normal as the rainy season terminates.

SUMMARY OF DECEMBER 2001 - FEBRUARY 2002 RAINFALL PERFORMANCE

30 Mar 2001 description


April-May-June (AMJ) 2001 forecast summary
The likelihood of normal to above-normal rains remains in the northern half of the sub-region, Mauritius, the coastal areas of South Africa and southern Namibia for the period May to June 2001 while the central and southern parts are likely to have below-normal rainfall during the same period. The period is also dry over the bulk of the southern region.

Sea surface temperature anomalies and Southern Oscillation Index

28 Mar 2001 description


Period: 10 - 20 March 2001
Synoptic review

19 Mar 2001 description


Drought Monitoring Centre (Harare)
Period: 1 - 10 March 2001

Synoptic review

The middle (500 hPa) level cyclonic circulations centred over the northern Botswana and the Mozambique Channel were the dominant features during the first dekad of March. Figure 1(a) illustrates the typical middle (500hPa) level average circulation pattern over the sub-region during most of the period under review.

26 Feb 2001 description


March-April-May (MAM) 2001 forecast summary
The likelihood of normal to above-normal rains remains very high in the northern half of the sub-region for the period March to May 2001 while the southern half is likely to have normal to below-normal rainfall during the same period.

Sea surface temperature anomalies and Southern Oscillation Index

01 Feb 2001 description


February-March-April (FMA) 2001 forecast summary
Normal to above normal rainfall is expected over much of the northern half of the sub-region, for the period February to April 2001 (FMA). Most of the southern half is likely to receive normal to below normal rainfall as the period coincide with the retreat of the ITCZ towards the north.

Sea surface temperature anomalies and Southern Oscillation Index

19 Dec 2000 description


STATEMENT FROM THE FOURTH CLIMATE OUTLOOK FORUM FOR THE SOUTHERN AFRICAN REGION, 18-19 December 2000, Harare, Zimbabwe.
SUMMARY

There is a likelihood of normal to above-normal rainfall over most of the Southern African Development Community (SADC) countries for the period January-March (JFM) 2001. However, Mauritius has high probabilities of below-normal rainfall. Drought conditions are likely to continue in most parts of Tanzania.

01 Dec 2000 description

December 2000-January-February 2001 (DJF) forecast summary

31 Oct 2000 description


Seasonal Update
November-December 2000-January 2001 (NDJ) forecast summary