On 22 December tropical storm Tembin hit Mindanao island in the Philippines, affecting more than 715,000 people. More than 138,000 people remain displaced.
Lanao del Norte and Lanao del Sur provinces in Mindanao were severely impacted with 41,000 and 59,000 affected people respectively. Shelter and NFI needs are high, with at least 1,600 houses destroyed across the entire affected area. There are elevated protection concerns in areas affected by the Marawi conflict (May–October 2017), which led to the estimated displacement of more than 353,000 people.
OUTLOOK FOR SEPTEMBER 2017—FEBRUARY 2018
The threat of insecurity posed by IS-affiliated armed groups operating in central Mindanao has increased in the last months. The Philippines’ security forces have shown limited capacity to contain this threat. The risk of these groups taking control of territories has now become likely, and could affect up to 4.9 million people who live in conflict-prone areas (Lanao del Norte, Lanao del Sur, Maguindanao and Cotabato provinces).
Typhoon Nock Ten (locally known as Nina) struck the Philippines, making eight landfalls between 25 and 26 December, with gusts of up to 285 km/h and winds of 235 km/h. Affected areas are the Bicol region (Region V), Mimaropa, Calabarzon and Eastern Visayas (Region VIII). Nearly 2 million people were affected and at least three people were killed. 1.4 million of the affected are in Cantanduanes, Albay, and Camerines Sur, in Bicol.
The Philippines has been affected by a strong El Niño-related dry spell since December 2015, which has hit food production. El Niño peaked between December and February, and drought affected 40% of the country, and is expected to persist in 2015.