The IRC’s Watchlist 2019 highlights the countries we believe are at greatest risk of experiencing the worst humanitarian crises over the coming year.
By Lauren Shaw
With policymakers under growing public pressure to manage unwanted migration, questions of how, when, and under what conditions unauthorized immigrants, rejected asylum seekers, and other migrants can be returned to their origin countries received increased attention at international levels in 2018.
The Global risk analysis outlines 18 contexts where a significant deterioration is expected to occur within the next six to nine months, leading to a spike in humanitarian needs.
ACAPS analysts conduct daily monitoring and independent analysis of more than 150 countries to support evidence-based decision-making in the humanitarian sector.
The knowledge acquired in this process enables analysts to develop a solid understanding of crisis dynamics and identify trends as well as potential risks, which enabled the selection of these 18 contexts:
What is it?
As of 13 December, heavy rains in Ha Tinh, Quang Binh, Quang Tri and Thua Thien resulted in the death of 13 people, with one person still missing. A number of houses have been damaged or destroyed, while fields have been flooded and livestock swept away.
The disaster risk is level 1 according to Vietnamese disaster risk level (level 5 is the highest). The Central Steering Committee for Natural Disaster Prevention and Control has guided the provinces from Ha Tinh to Phu Yen to monitor the situation. There is no request for international assistance.
The 16 days of Activism Against Gender-Based Violence was a momentous joint effort, led by GiHA Working Group with the GBV sub-Sector and the GoB, to raise awareness and galvanize action to prevent and respond to violence against women and girls. The campaign included more than 105 events including meetings between Rohingya women and government officials, discussions with men and boys, gender inclusive games, arts and interactive drama, a youth talent fair, as well as sports and skills sharing.
Over 32,535 persons have been verified through the RRRC-UNHCR Family Counting Exercise, as of 12 December. The Site Management Site Development Sector is engaging with all actors from GoB and the humanitarian community as well as donors to define a holistic and joint macroplanning strategy for the months to come. The third SMART Nutrition Survey in December 2018 confirmed that the malnutrition situation has further consolidated, but continues to require maintained efforts throughout 2019.
UN Assistant Secretary-General and UNDP Regional Director for Asia and the Pacific, Mr. Haoliang Xu and UNHCR’s Deputy Regional Director Mr. Bernard Doyle completed a five-day visit to Myanmar on 14 December 2018.
This document presents an overview of safety, security and access incidents affecting aid delivery between January 2017 and June 2018. The report is based on incidents identified in open sources and reported by Aid in Danger partner agencies using the Security in Numbers Database (SiND). The focus is on countries where possible changing or emerging risks can be identified. See our Regional Security Incident Analysis for selective country overviews.
Security Incidents and Access Constraints
Central African Republic
31 October - 01 November 2018: In Batangafo town, Ouham prefecture, armed men looted and burned down three IDP camps, destroying them completely and leaving around 27,000 persons homeless. This incident prompted NGOs to suspend their activities at the IDP sites and forced some 5,000 IDPs to seek refuge in a nearby hospital. Sources: MSF, Reuters, RJDH and Thomson Reuters Foundation