Zimbabwe Food Security Outlook - October 2011 through March 2012


Key Messages

• Relatively high levels of poverty continue to define the food insecurity problem in Zimbabwe. The Zimbabwe Vulnerability Assessment Committee (ZimVAC) estimated about 9.6 percent of the population to have insufficient food entitlements in the period October through to December 2011. This number is likely to increase to 11.5 percent during the current consumption year’s peak hunger period.

• Provided they are adequately resourced, on-going and planned food assistance programmes for the 2011/12 consumption year complemented by household normal coping strategies, remittances and the anticipated normal green harvest from mid February to March 2011, are likely to fill most of the projected food entitlement gaps in the rural areas during the outlook period.

• Despite numerous challenges, the 2011/12 summer agricultural season started under improved conditions. Chief amongst these is the generally stable macro-economic conditions and improved seeds, chemicals, and fertilizers availability on the market. The rainfall seasonal forecast is not entirely positive as the first half of the season is projected to have increased chances of normal to below-normal rainfall. Delayed payments of farmers by the Grain Marketing Board (GMB) for 2011 grain deliveries and limited credit facilities on the market are likely to limit farmers’ access to inputs. The traditional draft power problem is expected to continue to constrain production.