Attachments
Key Messages
- In Yemen, households continue to contend with long-term impacts of the protracted conflict, including very poor macroeconomic conditions. The business environment continues to erode due to currency shortages in areas controlled by the Sana’a-based authorities (SBA) and currency depreciation and inflation in areas controlled by the internationally-recognized government (IRG). Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or worse outcomes are expected to persist nationwide, with assistance needs peaking in the range of 18.0-18.99 million during the February-March semi-lean season period in the highlands, prior to the start of the next agricultural season in highland areas.
- Currently in October, the start of the main cereal harvest is providing a boost in seasonal food and income. However, severe flooding in Al Hudaydah and Hajjah during Yemen’s July to September second rainy season has reduced crop production and associated labor opportunities in affected areas. Meanwhile, ongoing economic challenges nationwide are further limiting income-earning opportunities for millions of households.
- Across SBA-controlled areas, humanitarian food assistance provided by WFP has been paused since December 2023, affecting around 9.5 million beneficiaries. Crisis (IPC Phase 3) and Emergency (IPC Phase 4) outcomes are expected to persist, with worst outcomes expected in several governorates where more than 50 percent of the population previously received assistance.
- Millions of households in IRG-controlled areas are also expected to face persisting food consumption gaps due to very poor economic conditions characterized by currency depreciation, high food prices, and lack of income-earning opportunities. Crisis (IPC Phase 3) and Crisis! (IPC Phase 3!) outcomes will remain widespread, with some households expected to face Emergency (IPC Phase 4).
- Israeli airstrikes damaged key SBA ports in July and September. Food imports declined temporarily but recovered in September. Fuel imports were re-routed through Ras Isa port, but fuel stocks have likely declined. FEWS NET anticipates further strikes, likely on revenue-generating infrastructure, during the projection period.
The analysis in this report is based on information available as of October 15, 2024.