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Upcoming weeks likely to see increased rainfall intensity resulting in flash floods
During Yemen's rainy season, from July to September, there is a heightened risk of flooding, especially in coastal and low-lying areas. July, in particular, typically records significant rainfall across many areas of the country. Factors such as heavy rainfall, inadequate drainage systems, devegetation, and other environmental conditions can contribute to flash floods. The resulting exposure of vulnerable agricultural resources further amplifies the threat to food security.
Continued increase of precipitation: With daily precipitation levels expected to rise, reaching cumulative values surpassing 200 mm in areas like Ibb governorate, the Central Highlands and parts of the Southern Uplands are poised to receive the heaviest rainfall in the upcoming period. Additionally, areas such as Hadramaut governorate, which typically experience minimal rainfall, are predicted to receive substantial precipitation nearing 40 mm. These meteorological projections, coupled with the hydro-topographical characteristics of low-lying and coastal watersheds, could result in the reemergence of flash floods, with varying probabilities across different areas.
Persistent elevated temperatures: Temperatures will remain high on certain days during the next ten-day period, although generally lower than in the previous period. Some areas will experience temperatures exceeding 44 degrees Celsius: specifically, the northern areas of Hadramaut and Al Maharah governorates, as well as coastal spots in Lahj. Temperatures around 40 degrees Celsius will also be recorded in various locations along the Red Sea (such as Al Hudaydah and Hajjah), the Gulf of Aden (Lahj), and the inland areas of Shabwah, Marib, Al Jawf, Hadramaut, and Al Maharah.
The FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization) and local partners (especially of CAMA) will continue to prioritize the collection of ground level data on precipitation patterns and potential risks. The dissemination of this information is crucial for enhancing the climate resilience of communities that rely on agriculture.