Seasonal precipitation predictions in the Desert Locust winter/spring/summer breeding areas (March - August 2025)

The latest seasonal dynamical models predict above-average rainfall in northern Africa’s Sahara, particularly in Algeria and Libya, during the spring months of March and April. In contrast, dry conditions and below-normal precipitation are expected to persist from the Horn of Africa to the southern Red Sea and the southern Arabian Peninsula through May. For the summer, the models indicate a potential for increased rainfall in the northern Sahel of Africa and along the Indo-Pakistan border in July and August. La Niña conditions developed in December 2024 and are expected to persist through March–April 2025. While they may extend into the summer, it is still too early to confirm.