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The latest seasonal dynamical models for February through April suggest dryness across the Central Region from the southern Arabian Peninsula to southwest Asia. In February, both sub-seasonal and seasonal predictions highlight unusually dry conditions across North Africa and the Near East. A second generation of winter breeding will persist along the Red Sea coasts. As noted last month, northwestern Africa tends to receive ample rains in late winter during La Niña, followed by wetter spring in the Sahara. Above-normal rainfall and warmer temperatures in spring are expected to support breeding from March along parts of northern Mali, Niger, Chad, Morocco, southern Algeria, and southwest Libya. Below-normal rainfall is expected in southeast Iran and southwest Pakistan during the spring, while pre-monsoon rain could occur in June along the Indo-Pakistan border.