The latest seasonal dynamical models predict below-normal rainfall in northern Africa during the rest of the spring. This includes the Sahara region from Morocco to Libya, the interior of Egypt, Sudan, the Arabian Peninsula, southeastern Iran, and southwestern Pakistan. For the summer season, above-normal rainfall is expected to begin in June along the central Sahel from Niger to Sudan, as well as the pre-monsoon of Indo- Pakistan. From July to September, above-normal rains are forecasted in the Sahel and southern Sahara of northern Africa, the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden coasts, the Horn of Africa, the interior of the Arabian Peninsula, and the Indo-Pakistan border. Below-normal rainfall is expected in October. Above-normal rainfall this summer is connected to La Niña condiMons, which are likely to prevail.
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