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Mixed Migration Flows in the Mediterranean and Beyond - Analysis: Flow Monitoring Surveys (08 Oct - 04 Apr 2016)

Attachments

474 Interviews of Iranian and Pakistani migrants conducted to date by IOM in Croatia, fyROM, Slovenia, Greece, Serbia and Hungary

About DTM’s Flow Monitoring Surveys

This report contains the findings of IOM’s Displacement Tracking Matrix (DTM) from surveys conducted between 08 October 2015 and 4 April 2016. This research is ongoing, and is being conducted within the framework of IOM’s research on populations on the move through the Mediterranean and Western Balkan Routes to Europe. The survey has been carried out by IOM field staff in Croatia since October 2015, with the same survey interviews more recently also being conducted by field staff in Greece, the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia (fYROM), Serbia, Hungary, and Slovenia.
The survey gathers information about migrants’ profiles, including age, sex, areas of origin, levels of education, key transit points on their route, cost of journey, motives, and intentions. Responses are analysed by nationality rather than based on where the interviews were conducted for two reasons: the populations moving through these countries are moving very quickly, and can therefore be considered part of the same “flow”, and the same interview questions are used in all locations. Therefore, information on where interviews have been conducted (the map above) is presented for operational purposes rather than for the purposes of analysis.

Methodology

This survey is conducted amongst migrants and refugees as they transit from Greece through the Western Balkan Route to Slovenia, in locations of entry, transit, and exit where IOM already has a presence and assists with other activities, such as registration, referrals, or orientation. The questionnaire contains 16 multiple choice questions translated into Arabic, Dari, Pashtu, Urdu, French and Farsi. Respondents are approached in an ad hoc manner by IOM field staff, with those who give their consent to be interviewed proceeding with the remainder of the questions. This may constitute a selection bias, since those willing to respond tend to be young adult males who are confident enough to be interviewed in a public space, and who speak some English. Not all locations where interviews are conducted dispose of translators, and although the interview forms are translated, in practice many interviews are by necessity initiated by field staff striking up a basic conversation in English. Therefore, the sample obtained with this technique is not statistically representative of the migrant population because the individuals in the sample are not selected using a systematic random sampling technique with a pre-existing framework.
This, however, has allowed DTM to accumulate a vast number of interviews in a short space of time. Although this sample cannot be considered statistically representative on its own, the dataset can be further analysed within the group (i.e., Syrian adult female or Afghan young male population etc.) once a sufficient number of interviews per group of interest become available. The survey also enables the identification of interesting trends worthy of further investigation, and the findings can be compared with other sources of information for a fuller picture. For a comprehensive overview of these mixed migration flows, this analysis should be read in conjunction with DTM’s weekly flows compilation, which provides an overview of migration flow trends and developments in countries of first arrival and other countries along the migratory route in Europe. The data on registered arrivals is collated by IOM through consultations with ministries of interior, coast guards, police forces, and other relevant national authorities.

Flow Monitoring Data Analysis Overview

Between 8 October 2015 and 4 April 2016 IOM field staff in Greece, fYROM, Croatia, Slovenia and Hungary amassed interviews with 8,987 migrants and refugees, of which 135 people were interviewed over the week from 28 March - 4 April 2016. Individuals of Syrian, Afghan, Iraqi, nationalities comprised 86% of all respondents. The analysis for those three nationalities can be viewed in the report from two weeks ago. The analysis for Algerians and Moroccans can be viewed in the report from last week.

This week’s report focuses on providing analysis on Iranian and Pakistani respondents who comprise 5% of all respondents.

Between 8 October 2015 and 4 April 2016, 297 respondents of Iranian nationality and 177 respondents of Pakistani nationality were surveyed in Greece, Croatia, fYROM, Slovenia, Serbia and Hungary. The following sections provide analysis on these two groups of nationalities.