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Long range forecast product for Africa valid for March-April-May and April-May-June 2016 seasons, issued on February 29 , 2016

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Highlights

 Below average precipitation and drought have raged since last year on the SADC region, the outlook for the remaining months of the current season indicated below average precipitation very likely over most of the eastern part of the region including Zambia, Malawi, Mozambique, Zimbabwe, easternmost of Botswana, South Africa, Lesotho, Swaziland and the center of Madagascar. The drought situation and related consequences will persist during the coming months.

 Over the southern half of the DRC, northern Angola, westernmost part of Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, southwestern Uganda, Guinea, Sierra Leone, Liberia, southern Ghana, Togo, Benin and southwestern Nigeria, below average precipitation is very likely. However, given the low vulnerability in these areas, significant impacts are very unlikely from March to June 2016.

 Between March and June 2016, southern Cameroon, Guinea Equatoria,l Gabon, Congo, northernmost part of DRC, southeastern Tanzania, northeastern Mozambique, northern Madagascar and Comoros Island are expeting above average precipitation.

 Over southtern sahel, above average precipitation associated with a normal to early start of the season are very likely during April to June 2016.

 Near to above average temperature is very likely over most of Morocco, Mauritania, Mali, Niger,
Mozambique, and South Africa, Algeria, Tunisia, western Libya, northern Burkina Faso, southern Angola, southeastern most of DRC, Zambia, Malawi, Zimbabwe, Botswana, Namibia, Lesotho and Swaziland