Part I of this report examines
the forces and political developments that have driven down the number
of international conflicts and war deaths since the 1950s, and the number
of civil wars since the early 1990s. It argues that the fact that these
forces persist, or have strengthened, provides grounds for cautious optimism
about the future of global security.
Part II examines the paradox
of mortality rates that decline during the overwhelming majority of today's
wars, as well as the challenges and controversies involved in measuringindirectwar
deaths-those caused by war-exacerbated disease and malnutrition.
Part III, "Trends in
Human Insecurity," reviews recent trends in conflict numbers and death
tolls around the world, and updates the conflict and other trend data in
previous Human Security Report Project (HSRP) publications.
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