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Global Weather Hazards Summary, October 10, 2024 - October 16, 2024

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Global Overview: ENSO-neutral conditions prevail and will continue until September. Floods are likely across Africa, Yemen, Central America, and Colombia. Meanwhile, abnormal heat is expected in northern Africa, Hispaniola, and northern South America.

Africa Weather Hazards

Flooding is widespread in the Sahel, eastern Sudan, and northern Ethiopia; Drier conditions are indicated along the Gulf of Guinea, Ethiopia and Somalia.

  1. The Sudd wetlands in South Sudan remain inundated.

  2. Heavy rainfall in eastern Sudan and western Ethiopia has caused flooding and a risk of landslides in northern Ethiopia.

  3. Heavy rainfall has led to severe flooding in Guinea-Bissau, Guinea, northern Sierra Leone, central and southern Mali, southern Niger, northern Nigeria, central and southern Chad, and northern Cameroon.
    Ongoing and forecasted heavy rain may cause additional flooding in Senegal, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, and northern Cameroon.

  4. Since June, below-average rainfall has resulted in moisture deficits, causing abnormal dryness in eastern Liberia and southwestern Côte d'Ivoire. Insufficient rainfall during July and August led to similar conditions in northeastern Côte d'Ivoire, Ghana, central Togo, central Benin, and parts of western Nigeria. In northern Ghana, A dry spell significantly dried out soils, potentially reducing crop yields by 50% or more. Additionally, eastern Nigeria and central and eastern Cameroon are experiencing abnormal dryness due to below-average rainfall since early April, leading to drought conditions in these regions.

  5. Abnormally hot conditions are forecasted in northern Mali, Algeria, and western Libya.