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Global Overview: El Niño conditions (above-average sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific Ocean) remain present in most equatorial Pacific; however, a transition from El Niño to ENSO-neutral is likely in the next month. Drought persists in Southern Africa, while dry conditions continue in portions of Northern South America. Meanwhile, dry conditions have expanded across northern Central America. Flooding will likely happen in East Africa, Central Asia, and Hispaniola.
Africa Weather Hazards
Abnormally dry conditions are setting in over eastern Nigeria and Cameroon; Rainfall is weakening in Eastern Africa, but Floods have continued.
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Flood conditions in the Sudd wetlands in northern South Sudan remains unchanged.
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Due to a delayed start to the rainy season, insufficient rainfall, and extended dry spells, drought conditions persist in parts of Angola, Namibia, Zambia, Botswana, Zimbabwe, Malawi, Mozambique, Madagascar,
South Africa, and Lesotho. -
Flood conditions persist in parts Burundi, Tanzania, Rwanda, and Zambia, while in Angola flooding lingers.
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Heavy rainfall caused the Tana River and Lag Dera River in Kenya to flood, affecting 21 out of 47 counties in the country and resulting in fatalities and displacement of thousands of people. Heavy rainfall in Somalia and Ethiopia caused floods and damage.
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Significant rainfall deficits since 1 April in eastern Nigeria and western Cameroon, have led to declining soil moisture and the placement of abnormal dryness.
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Abnormally hot weather is expected over portions of central Cameroon, Mali, Niger, Algeria and Chad.