Global Weather Hazards Summary: March 6 - 12, 2015

from Famine Early Warning System Network
Published on 06 Mar 2015 View Original

Heavy rainfall continues in Malawi, Madagascar; seasonal rainfall slow to start in southwestern Ethiopia

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Since mid-December, consistently heavy rainfall has occurred over southern Malawi and central/ northern Mozambique. Above-average rain forecast for the next week will keep flooding risks elevated.

  2. Poorly-distributed rainfall since January has resulted in abnormal dryness in southern Zimbabwe, southern Mozambique, northern South Africa, southeastern Botswana, and Free State, North West, and KwaZulu-Natal Provinces of South Africa. The forecast little to no rainfall during the next week could worsen ground conditions.

  3. Since late December, a sharp reduction in rainfall has led to mid-season dryness across southern Angola, western Zambia, northern Namibia, the Caprivi Strip, and Ghanzi and Ngamiland Districts in Botswana. Little to no rainfall is expected during the next week.

  4. Extended dry spells since January have led to large rainfall deficits in northeastern Namibia. With the rainy season approaching to an end, recovery is unlikely.

  5. Above-average rainfall over the past 30 days has resulted in widespread flooding in Madagascar. Heavy rains forecast for the next week will keep flooding risks elevated.

  6. Extended dry spells and 30-day rainfall below the 10th percentile have led to poor cropping conditions across central/ southern Tanzania. Heavy rain is forecast to provide relief to southern Tanzania, but dry conditions are expected to continue in central Tanzania.

  7. Below-average rainfall since February has resulted in rainfall deficits in southwestern Ethiopia. Below-average rainfall forecast during the next week may worsen conditions.