Poorly distributed rainfall contributes to ongoing moisture deficits in Southern Africa
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Below-average rainfall has increased moisture deficits and resulted in a drought in eastern Kenya and southern Somalia. With the October-December rainfall season ending, the chance for recovery is very unlikely.
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While east-central South Africa has benefited aboveaverage rain since late November, northern and westcentral areas of the country report moderate to large moisture deficits over the past thirty days.
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Although rainfall totals have improved in some areas of southern Madagascar since mid-November, negative vegetation conditions are recorded in many areas.
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Below-average rain during the past month has resulted in large moisture deficits and below-average vegetation conditions over northwestern Angola. The forecast light rain next week may not be sufficient to offset deficits.
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Heavy rain during the past week has caused flooding in the Lilongwe, Malawi. Above-average rain is forecast to continue next week, maintaining high risk for flooding