Abnormal dryness expected to continue in East and Southern Africa
Africa Weather Hazards
Although good rainfall was observed over the Greater Horn of Africa in late November and early December, the delayed onset of the October December rainy season, combined with an erratic distribution of rains during the season, has already negatively impacted ground conditions in northern Kenya and southern Somalia. As the season is coming to an end, a recovery is unlikely.
Insufficient rainfall since the beginning of October has led to dryness and delayed planting throughout eastern Zambia, northern Zimbabwe, western and central Mozambique, and southern Malawi. Moderate to heavy rains are forecast in western and northern Zambia during the next week, which should help alleviate dryness.
Prolonged dry spells since October have resulted in large rainfall deficits and below-average vegetation conditions over parts of eastern Zambia, Malawi, western and northern Mozambique. Light to moderate rains are forecast in eastern Zambia and Malawi during the next week, which could sustain drought conditions.
While much of South Africa has received adequate rains since the beginning of the Southern African monsoon, the northernmost and eastern parts of the country have received below-average rains, affecting regional agricultural conditions.
Moderate to heavy rains are forecast over the Limpopo province of South Africa during the next week, which should help reduce moisture deficits.
- Below-average rainfall since the start of the season has resulted in large moisture deficits and poor ground conditions in western Madagascar. Little to no rainfall is expected in western Madagascar this week, potentially worsening conditions.