Global Weather Hazards Summary: August 15 - 21, 2014

from Famine Early Warning System Network
Published on 15 Aug 2014 View Original

Severe dryness persists in Latin America and Haiti, with flooding in Sudan and South Sudan

  1. Since early June, seasonal rainfall has been below average and infrequent across northeastern Nigeria, leading to growing moisture deficits. While there is a chance for some relief with increased rainfall forecast during the upcoming outlook period, abnormally dry ground conditions are expected to persist, which still may negatively impact developing crops later into the season.

  2. Although much of western Ethiopia has received favorable amounts of rainfall during the last two months and rainfall has recently increased in eastern Ethiopia, poorly distributed rain in parts of eastern Amhara, eastern Tigray, and northern Oromia have been consistently below average since June.

  3. A poor start to seasonal rainfall across much of Senegal has led to poor ground conditions and increasing early season rainfall deficits since June. Little rain is forecast for the next week, with increasing rainfall deficits potentially hurting cropping activities.

  4. A delayed start of seasonal rains has hurt cropping activities along the Mauritania-Mali border. Light to moderate rains are forecast in southern Mauritania next week, which could maintain moisture deficits over local areas.

  5. Heavy rains during the past two weeks in the Darfur and Kordofan regions of Sudan caused flooding that destroyed shelters and flooded producing areas. Moderate to heavy rain forecast for next week are likely to cause additional flooding.

  6. Heavy rains during the past two weeks have caused flooding that displaced people across Unity State in South Sudan. The moderate rains forecast for next week may worsen the situation.

  7. Heavy downpours during the past two weeks have caused flooding, infrastructure damage, injuries, and have displaced people across the Khartoum, River Nile, and Al Gazeira States of Sudan. Flooding remains likely as heavy rains are forecast to continue