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Global Seasonal Outlook (June 2025)

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KEY HIGHLIGHTS

1 WESTERN AFRICA

As the rainy season progresses in the Sahel, eastern areas are experiencing delayed rains while western regions see near-normal conditions. Forecasts offer hope for recovery but also warn of rising flood risks. In contrast, southern and western coastal countries may face below-average rainfall as the season advances.

2 EAST AFRICA

April-June rains were uneven in Eastern Africa, with below average rainfall in Ethiopia, Sudan, and South Sudan, though recovery is still possible. Forecasts for JulySeptember point to wetter weather, which could support crops and pastures but also increase flood and postharvest loss risks.

3 C. AMERICA & CARIBBEAN

The 2025 Primera season has started under dry conditions in Central America and the Caribbean, especially in the Dry Corridor and Cuba, raising concerns for crop development. While some rainfall recovery occurred in June, forecasts point to continued dryness through September, alongside a heightened risk of storm-related disruptions.

4 SOUTH & S. E. ASIA

The 2025 monsoon season has begun with mostly favorable rains supporting planting across South and Southeast Asia, though early flooding in some areas and continued wet forecasts raise concerns for localized impacts.

5 SPECIAL FOCUS SYRIA, IRAQ, AFGHANISTAN

The 2024-2025 poor rainfall season left major reservoirs in the Middle East and Central Asia critically low, threatening irrigation and water supply, challenges further worsened by rising summer temperatures that increase water demand and evaporation.