Attachments
WESTERN AFRICA
Rainfall conditions across the Sahel remain mixed, with some areas experiencing above-average precipitation while others face deficits leading to early signs of vegetation stress. Flood risk persist for the next months. In the Gulf of Guinea, continued below-average rainfall raises the likelihood of a dry season in some countries.
EAST AFRICA
Eastern Africa’s 2025 rainfall season has been mixed—early dryness disrupted planting in Ethiopia, Sudan, Yemen, and South Sudan, but recent rains aided some recovery. However, rising flood risks, especially in South Sudan, threaten livelihoods as above-average rainfall is forecast to persist through October.
C. AMERICA & CARIBBEAN
The Primera season has begun under dry conditions across Central America and the Caribbean raising concerns over crop development. While recent rainfall events have brought some relief, albeit triggering localized flooding, seasonal forecasts indicate continued dryness through October, coupled with an elevated risk of storm-related disruptions.
SOUTH & S. E. ASIA
The 2025 monsoon season has started with generally favorable rains supporting planting across South and Southeast Asia, though early flooding and continued wet forecasts raise concerns over localized impacts on agriculture and livelihoods.
SPECIAL FOCUS: SUDD FLOODS OUTLOOK
Given the current extent of inundation in the Sudd wetlands and forecasts predicting continued above average rainfall through October , the probability of flooding reaching or surpassing 2024 levels is considerably heightened.