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Crop Prospects and Food Situation Triannual Global Report No. 2, July 2025

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REGIONAL HIGHLIGHTS

AFRICA

Cereal production rebounded in Southern Africa in 2025, owing to favourable weather conditions after last year’s widespread drought. In North Africa, cereal outputs are estimated at below-average levels for the fourth consecutive year due to persistent dry-weather conditions. In West Africa, mostly beneficial weather conditions are supporting above-average cereal production prospects in 2025, but ongoing conflicts in parts of the subregion remain a serious concern. In East Africa, poor early-season rainfall in southern areas has dampened production prospects for the 2025 cereal crops, but forecasts of ample rains in northern countries are supporting a generally favourable outlook.

ASIA

In Far East Asia, aggregate wheat production is foreseen to reach an all-time high in 2025, mostly owing to larger plantings amid remunerative prices, continued government support and beneficial weather conditions. The early production outlook for 2025 coarse grains and paddy crops is also favourable. In Near East Asia, cereal crops have suffered from extended rainfall deficits early in the season, which reduced plantings and negatively affected yields. As a result, below-average cereal harvests are estimated in most countries, with conflict further undermining agricultural capacity in affected areas, notably the Syrian Arab Republic and Yemen.

LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN In South America, large maize outturns in Brazil and Uruguay underpin expectations of an above-average subregional cereal output in 2025, more than compensating for a likely decline in production in Argentina. In Central America and the Caribbean, reduced plantings and dry-weather conditions have dampened maize and wheat production prospects.