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Overview:
In East Africa, prospects have improved for Meher season cereals in Ethiopia in many areas, except in parts of the centre and northeast experiencing continuing wet conditions and in prior conflict-affected areas of the north. In southern East Africa, prospects are mixed for main season cereal harvesting due to erratic rainfall patterns this season, with periods of both wet and dry conditions. In West Africa, conditions remain generally favourable despite highly erratic rainfall patterns, including above-average rains from July to late August in the Sahel and associated flooding (See Regional Outlook Pg. 11). In north and central Ghana, recent drought conditions could impact production outcomes. Yields are also expected to be below-normal in the conflict affected areas. In the Middle East & North Africa, most regions are now out of season, and planting for the 2024/25 wheat season will commence in October. In Southern Africa, wheat crops are developing under favourable conditions, and harvesting activities will begin in September. In the Democratic Republic of the Congo, agro-climatic conditions remain favourable for ongoing cropping activities. In Central and South Asia, winter wheat harvesting finalized under favourable conditions despite mixed rainfall patterns this season. Spring wheat harvesting is underway, and production prospects are favourable. In southern Southeast Asia, conditions are favourable for dry-season rice except in Brunei where pests remain a concern. In the north, conditions are favourable for wet-season rice except in the Philippines where heavy rains damaged crops. Elsewhere, wet conditions are causing concern in the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea and Bangladesh. In Central America & the Caribbean, conditions are mostly favourable for Primera season harvesting, and bean crops have recovered from recent concerns regarding excess soil moisture. However, recent dry and hot conditions are impacting parts of Guatemala.