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Overview:
In East Africa, planting and development of main season cereals continues under mixed conditions due to a combination of early season rainfall deficits, El Niño-induced heavy rainfall and flooding across parts of the region, and an early cessation of the rains in the south. In West Africa, planting and development of main season cereals is underway in all countries, and conditions remain generally favourable except in conflict-affected regions and along parts of the Sahel where rains are delayed. In the Middle East and North Africa, wheat yields are expected to be well below-average in Morocco and below-average in Algeria, south-central Tunisia, and northwestern Libya due to prolonged seasonal drought. In the Middle East, agroclimatic conditions are generally favourable. Socio-economic challenges related to conflict continue to influence production potential in Libya and Syria. In Southern Africa, prolonged dry and hot conditions throughout the season in combination with a mid-season record dry spell resulted in below to well below-average yields in many areas for the end of the season. Conditions remain favourable for ongoing wheat planting. In Central and South Asia, conditions are mostly favourable for winter wheat harvesting and spring wheat development, except in parts of northern Kazakhstan impacted by catastrophic flooding since March. In southern Southeast Asia, harvesting of wet-season rice finalized in Indonesia under favourable conditions despite a decrease in harvested area. Across the north, there is emerging concern for wet-season rice due to delayed and limited rains received in some areas. In Central America and the Caribbean, conditions remain mixed for Primera season cereals due to a combination of delayed and below-average rains at the beginning of the season, followed by a shift to enhanced rains in June and resultant flooding, landslides, and seed washout.