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Ukraine

Ukraine's winterisation 2024/25: Cold spot assessment - Findings from REACH assessments (June 2024)

Attachments

Context & rationale

➢ The full-scale war has resulted in a significant level of damage to housing infrastructure.

➢ The war has also damaged electricity, gas and heat supply facilities, with a large concentration of the damage on the front line and border areas.

➢ As of June 2024, Ukraine has lost 50% of its electricity generation capacity, compared to pre-war levels, and the situation is expected to worsen before winter (Ukrinform).

➢ Elevated humanitarian needs and socio-economic challenges, exacerbated by recent frontline developments and new waves of displacement (e.g. Sumska).

REACH aims to support winterisation response planning by identifying “cold spots”, areas where winter-related hazards intersect with socio-economic vulnerabilities and lack of coping capacities (LOCC), with a focus on damaged energy infrastructure

Key findings

➢ The 2024/25 Cold Spot Index (CSI) identified Kharkivskyi, Bohodukhivskyi and Chuhuivskyi (Kharkivska oblast) and Sumskyi (Sumska oblast) as the raions with the highest winter-related risks.

➢ These results are based on a combination of severe winter conditions, high levels of vulnerability (presence of internally displaced persons (IDPs) and elderly populations), and conflict-related damage.

Conflict-related damage has impacted Ukraine’s energy infrastructure, exacerbating the vulnerability of populations to winter conditions through frequent power outages disrupting essential services like heating and water supply.

The winterisation response should remain adaptable to address potential deterioration of the energy infrastructure in response to emerging localized challenges.