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Harvest
As of the end of November, about 75.7 million tons (MT) of grain and oil crops were harvested in Ukraine. The Ukrainian Grain Association (UGA) updated the estimate of the potential harvest for 2023,increasing it up to 81.6 MT. In 2022, according to UGA, the harvest reached 73.8 MT of grain and oil crops. The steady increase in the forecast is due to favorable weather conditions and better crop yields. The graph below shows the harvest in 2021, 2022, and the 2023 projection. The main reason for the drop after 2021 is the consequences of the war escalation in February 2022. Since then around 20 % of the territory of Ukraine has been beyond the control of the government of Ukraine.
Some part of this territory is considered to be suitable for agricultural activity. Ukrainian Data Journalistic media Texty has used data from the OneSoil company, which builds on satellite imagery and machine learning to remotely identify field boundaries and the crops grown on them. Texty has estimated the wheat, sunflower, and corn harvest in 2022 and 2023 in the areas beyond Ukrainian control.
Considering wheat 2023 estimates, the amount is approximately 20 % of the wheat forecast for the rest of the country.