Key Points:
-
Epidemic remains active. Despite a reported decline in incident cases, transmission is ongoing and widespread, with 79% (115/146) of districts affected and 46%(67/146) reporting new cases in the past 21 days.
-
Testing rates have reduced. The observed drop in reported cases coincides with reduced testing, making it unclear whether the decline reflects true epidemiological improvement or under-detection.
-
High-risk mortality observed. A total of 41 deaths have occurred among confirmed cases, over half (56.1%) of whom were co-infected with HIV.
-
Young adults are disproportionately affected. Attack rates are highest among females aged 25–29 (3.4/100,000) and males aged 35–39 (4.9/100,000). This represents a marginal increase in attack rates in these population group compared to last week which signifies continued increase in transmission.
-
Urban and fishing communities remain epicenters. The highest transmission has been recorded in Kampala, Mbarara, Hoima, Masaka, and the fishing communities of Kalangala, Nakasongola, Buvuma, and Kyotera. A new hotspot has emerged in Lyantonde District.
-
Key populations drive transmission. Transmission continues to be concentrated among key populations, particularly sex workers. Investigations are ongoing in Masaka and Mbarara to assess evolving dynamics.