Attachments
Key Messages
- Although the number of people in need is seasonally low in October 2024 due to improved access to food and income with the harvest, humanitarian assistance needs will begin to rise seasonally at the start of 2025. FEWS NET estimates that between 250,000 and 500,000 people will likely require humanitarian food aid as the lean season approaches in May 2025. The population in need is likely to be concentrated in the Savanes region, which is home to refugees, internally displaced people (IDPs), and host communities affected by civil insecurity.
- Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes are expected to prevail in the Savanes region through May 2025. Insecurity in the region limits agricultural production, and poor households are atypically dependent on markets, even during the post-harvest period. Due to increased food purchases and the decline in income due to fewer agricultural labor opportunities, poor households are able to meet their minimum food needs but cannot cover all necessary non-food expenditures without resorting to Stressed coping strategies.
- In other regions of the country, food security for poor households is improving thanks to the mostly average recent harvests. Most poor households are expected to face Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes through the pre-lean season period in April/May 2025, thanks to food stock reserves and income from livelihood activities.