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KEY FINDINGS
• In October 2025, the national median SMEB price reached 165 USD, marking a 3% quarterly increase. In local currency terms, the SMEB rose 15% nationally (1,894,830 SYP), reflecting the 12.5% depreciation of the SYP and 4% depreciation of the TRY over the same period. Regionally, the largest quarterly increases in USD were observed in northeastern Syria (+8%, 170 USD), followed by northwestern Syria (+3%, 157 USD), and central–southern Syria (+2%, 172 USD). In local currencies, regional SMEB increases were respectively 20% (1,964,934 SYP), 7% (6,625 TRY) and 15% (1,980,727 SYP).
• The SMEB food component reached 119 USD nationally, a 2% quarterly increase, while in SYP it rose 14% nationally (1,367,267 SYP). Regionally, the food component increased by 8% in northeastern Syria (123 USD) and 6% in northwestern Syria (116 USD), while central-southern Syria recorded a 2% decline (120 USD). In local currencies, the corresponding regional changes were respectively 20% (1,414,000 SYP), 11% (4,884 TRY) and 10% (1,385,600 SYP).
• Between July and October 2025, median bread prices remained largely stable nationwide and regionally. Bread availability on the other hand, improved notably: the share of vendors reporting access to government-supported bread increased from 74% to 91% nationwide. In northwestern Syria, historically the area with the highest unavailability ofsubsidised bread, reported access rose sharply from 46% in July to 82% in October, the highest level recorded to date.
• The SMEB cooking-fuel component, defined as a 24-litre LPG canister, reached 12 USD / 138,000 SYP, reflecting a 1% increase in USD and 13% in SYP nationally. Regionally, prices rose 17% in SYP in northeastern and central-southern Syria and 4% in TRY in northwestern Syria. Diesel prices on the black market increased by 9% (10,610 SYP/L; 0.92 USD/L), with petrol showing similar upward trends, reflecting both seasonal demand and currency depreciation.
• In October 2025, the median national cost of a basic bundle of essential education items, comprising one primary school bag, one notebook, one ink pen, and one pencil, was 6.2 USD (71,345 SYP). While quantities and specifications vary by grade, this represents the minimum direct cost for equipping a primary school child. Findings from the REACH MultiSectoral Needs Assessment (MSNA) 2024 indicate that direct education costs remain a primary barrier to accessing formal education in northern Syria, affecting host communities and IDPs alike.
• Market accessibility remained broadly stable. In October, 94% of vendors reported no physical obstacles, 92% no security concerns, and 99% no discriminatory access issues, indicating that operational markets are widely accessible across governorates.