Attachments
Key Messages
• Markets in Darfur and Greater Kordofan remain highly unstable, with prices influenced primarily by conflict, access constraints, and supply-chain disruptions rather than seasonality. In Darfur, prolonged insecurity and reliance on long-distance supply routes have sustained high volatility even during the productive season, while in Greater Kordo‑ fan, disruptions along key transport corridors have similarly limited price stabilization.
• Across both regions, vegetables (onions, tomatoes), staple foods (sorghum), and fuel- and water-related NFIs show the largest and most volatile month-on-month price movements. In Darfur and sim‑ ilarly in Greater Kordofan extreme volatility in these items % to market stress in the assessed localities in both regions, driven by insecurity, fuel shortage, and high transaction costs. • Darfur and Greater Kordofan differ in sourcing profiles and availability dynamics but share a strong dependence on national and cross-border supply routes with limited local production. This struc‑ tural feature increases exposure to route disruptions and price shocks, particularly in conflict-affected areas.
• The wide variations in prices, volatility, and availability across regions highlight the need for region‑specific transfer values that reflect actual market conditions. These differences also reinforce the importance of closely tracking highly volatile commodities to safeguard the effective‑ ness of cash assistance. Sustained, granular regional market monitoring, including supply‑source information, is essential to ensure that cash responses remain timely, appropriate, and responsive to rapidly shifting market realities.