Sudan Food Security Outlook Update, October 2017 to May 2018
Average national aggregate harvest likely, with pockets of well below-average harvests
Harvests starting in October, seasonal improvements in livestock productivity, and increased seasonal labor income are improving food security outcomes to Minimal (IPC Phase 1) and Stressed (IPC Phase 2) in most areas. However, very poor seasonal progress in pastoral and agro-pastoral areas of Kassala, northern Gadaref, and parts of North Darfur, are leading to Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes and humanitarian assistance needs between now and mid-2018.
Food access is also improving among IDPs and poor households in Jebel Marra and SPLM-N-controlled areas of South Kordofan.
However, restrictions on access to land, limited agricultural labor opportunities, and continued low asset holdings as a result of conflict continue to limit household productive capacity.
Households in these areas will continue to require humanitarian assistance through May 2018.
Overall, the main season rains performed very well over most parts of Sudan, and national harvest prospects are near average.
However, severe mid-season dry spells and well below-average seasonal rainfall resulted in significantly reduced area planted in Kassala and northern Gadaref. Moreover, poor rainfall in these areas and in parts of North Darfur led to very poor regeneration of pasture and water sources for livestock.