Sudan Food Security Outlook July to December 2011
Attachments
Late rains in most parts of Sudan and insecurity are likely to affect harvests
• The peaceful separation of Sudan and the Republic of South Sudan on July 9, 2011 is a historic event that will have significant impacts on the economy, livelihoods, and food security conditions of both countries.
• The start of the rainy season in June/July has been characterized by below‐average rainfall across east, central, and west Sudan, leading to poor ground moisture during the critical planting stage of the cropping cycle, and raising concerns for harvest prospects.
• During the lean season (July to September), demand for cereals will increase as food stocks diminish at household and market levels. An estimated four million people in Sudan are likely to face Stressed (IPC Phase 2) and Crisis (IPC Phase 3) levels of food insecurity during this period, including nearly two million IDPs in Darfur, 200,000 people affected by conflict in South Kordofan, and 110,000‐ 120,000 people displaced by conflict in Abeyi. About 1.7 million people in drought affected areas of Darfur, parts of North Kordofan, Red Sea, Blue Nile, White Nile and Kassala states are Stressed (IPC Phase 2).
• Food security is likely to improve during the harvest period (October to December) mostly to Stressed levels, though Crisis levels of food insecurity will remain in Abeyi and parts of Darfur due to insecurity and limited access by humanitarian agencies.