- 2008 crop performance was better than in 2007, despite late flooding, especially in the southern half of south Sudan. Unseasonable flooding, and a prolonged dry spell have led to significant pockets of moderate and high food insecurity in Aweil East, Aweil West, Aweil South, Gogrial, Twic, Nyirol, Akobo, Waat, Wuror, Mabaan, Maiwut, Longuchok, Luakpiny, Sobat, Ulang, and Torit counties (Figure 1). These areas are likely to remain food insecure until the next harvest in September.
- Despite good crop performance, an additional 10-20 percent of the population will remain food insecure. This group has been traditionally food insecure, due to either chronic/transitional production shortfalls or insecurity, for the last 10 years.
- Increased tensions and conflict could result in additional food insecurity. Areas of concern are highlighted in Figure 1 and include: escalated inter clan/inter-tribal/cattle raiding conflicts (1, 7, 8), persistent tensions (2), a likely surge in Lords Resistance Army (LRA) attacks (9, 10), emerging livelihood conflicts (6, 10), and emerging flood-related food insecurity (3, 5).
- Currently, unseasonal river flooding is being reported on northern parts of Bor (Twic East area) following blockage of Nile River caused by above normal sedimentation. The floods have reportedly displaced an un confirmed number of people.