Attachments
KEY MESSAGES
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The June through September season has been characterized by a slow start with dry conditions observed across the unimodal regions of Sudan,
South Sudan, and parts of the Kiremt regions of northern Ethiopia. -
Despite a slow start to the Kiremt season, parts of western and central Ethiopia are experiencing favourable conditions.
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Flooding along the Omo River and around the Omo Delta in Southwestern Ethiopia has led to the displacement of over 8000 people.
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Northeastern Ethiopia, northwestern Somalia, and Yemen remain regions of concern with June rainfall deficits persisting (Figure 1), following severe rainfall deficits during the March–May period.
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Favourable pasture and water conditions have been observed across Kenya, and southern Somalia following an above-average March–May rainfall season. However, forecasts indicate above-average temperatures that could desiccate the current gains within a short period of time (see Figure 2).
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Crop conditions across the region remain better than average as the season comes to a timely end in bimodal areas of Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and Tanzania. In the unimodal areas of western Kenya and Karamoja regions of Uganda and much of western, central, and southern Ethiopia, crop conditions are also above-average.
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Moderate flood risk persists in South Sudan, western and central Ethiopia, and Sudan, given the higher-than-average river and lake levels across the Nile Basin along with forecast above-average rainfall in the northern sector despite the current delayed onset.
Context: Between June and September, the following are the areas and names of the rainy seasons underway in parts of East Africa: Kiremt rains (June to September) in Western, Central, Northern, and Eastern Ethiopia; main rainy season (June to September) in the unimodal zones of South Sudan and Sudan; long rains in unimodal Uganda and Kenya; Karan/Karma rains (July to September) in northern pastoral areas of Ethiopia and Sitti and Fafan zones of Somali (Ethiopia) and northern sector of Somalia; and second rains (July to November) in South Sudan bimodal zone.