Attachments
Conflict displaces well over 100,000 in April as extreme levels of food insecurity persist
KEY MESSAGES
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In Unity State, Famine (IPC Phase 5) is likely ongoing in Leer, and Koch is in Emergency (IPC Phase 4) with an elevated risk of Famine (IPC Phase 5). Large-scale assistance has reached Koch monthly since February and Leer monthly since March. It is expected Mayendit will be in Emergency (IPC Phase 4!) and Panyijiar will be in Crisis (IPC Phase 3!) through May, in the presence of large-scale assistance. Concern remains high for central Unity State and Famine (IPC Phase 5) is likely in Leer, Koch, and Mayendit at the peak of the lean season in June/July, in the absence of humanitarian assistance.
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According to recent SMART surveys, the prevalence of Global Acute Malnutrition (GAM), as measured by weight-for-height zscore, remains above the Emergency (IPC Phase 4) threshold in many areas of the country. The prevalence of acute malnutrition surpassed the Famine threshold (GAM (WHZ)>30%) in several areas of greatest concern during the 2016 lean season. Food security outcomes and household food access were already extremely low at the start of the 2017 lean season, and it is possible levels of malnutrition will again exceed 30 percent in some areas between May and July.
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Consistent high rates of displacement and ongoing conflict are disrupting first season cultivation in Greater Equatoria and are likely to interfere with upcoming main season cultivation in Jonglei, Western Bahr el Ghazal, Unity, and Upper Nile States. Emergency (IPC Phase 4) outcomes are expected from June to September in the worst affected areas of these states. Emergency (IPC Phase 4) outcomes are also expected in Northern Bahr el Ghazal, due to extremely high food prices and limited income-earning options