Food security outcomes improves with harvest in October
• Civil insecurity continues to limit access to markets, livestock, and humanitarian assistance, particularly in Pibor County. IPC v2.0 Phase 3 (Crisis) food insecurity is expected throughout the Outlook period.
• Significant macroeconomic stress is likely beginning in August/September due to cessation of oil production and oil revenues as a result of suspension of the Implementation Matrix with Sudan.
• The Abyei referendum is unlikely to take place as scheduled in October, and growing tensions in the area are likely to result in renewed displacement. Given continued assistance, however, to Abyei area and nearby areas of displacement, IPC v2.0 Phase 2! (Stressed) food insecurity is most likely through December.
• Near-average 2013/14 national cereal production is expected. This, combined with near-average incomegenerating opportunities at the start of the consumption year is likely to result in IPC v2.0 Phase 1 (Minimal) food insecurity for most households outside of conflict areas, particularly during the October-December post-harvest period.