Forecast Highlight:
- Light rains are expected in parts of the Awdal, Woqooyi Galbeed, Sanaag, Togdheer, Lower Juba, Middle Juba, and Gedo regions
- Normal to above-normal April rainfall is favored over much of southern and central Somalia, though heavy rain is unlikely in early April
- Forecast rains may bring only localized relief, while residual drought in southern Somalia and continued heat stress remains a key concern
- River levels remain below flood risk thresholds, but Shabelle River at Belet Weyne should be monitored closely
Review Summary:
- During the past week, moderate rains were observed in some parts of Woqooyi Galbeed and Togdheer regions, while many other areas remained dry or received only light rain
- The Shabelle rose sharply at Belet Weyne, while the Juba remained stable but elevated; both rivers stayed below flood risk levels
- Drought conditions have improved in many parts of Somalia, but southern hotspot areas remain under stress, with recovery still uneven and fragile