Review Summary:
• During the past week (20–26 May 2025), rainfall activity was largely concentrated in the northern parts of Somalia, consistent with the northward migration of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ)
• Light to moderate rains were recorded across Bari, Sool, Sanaag, Togdheer, and Nugaal regions, while most central and southern areas experienced dry conditions or isolated showers
• River levels along the Shabelle and Juba rivers showed continued declines, with most stations now below flood risk thresholds
• Livelihood needs remain even as residual riverine floods recede at Jowhar and Balcad
• Strong winds (23–26 May) caused rough seas and high waves along the Somali coast including Liido beach (Mogadishu) with no reported negative impacts
Forecast Highlight:
• For the week of 27 May to 2 June 2025, dry conditions are expected to prevail over large parts of central and southern Somalia
• Light rainfall is forecast over coastal districts of Lower Juba, Middle Juba, and Lower Shabelle, as well as over Bari, Sanaag, and Sool regions
• The prevailing strong southerly winds along the Somali coast signal the early phase of the Southwest Monsoon
• Daytime temperatures remain high across most of the country, with some areas likely to experience extreme heat exceeding 40°C, increasing the risks of heat stress and moisture loss.