Attachments
Review Summary:
• Rainfall during the first month of the Gu season has been above normal in southern Somalia but remains significantly below normal across most of Somaliland and Puntland.
• In the past week (15–21 April 2025), light to moderate rains were observed across southern and central Somalia, with heavier rainfall reported in Hiraan (e.g., Bulo Burte: 134.5 mm), Bay (Baidoa: 100.8 mm), and Lower Shabelle (Wanla Weyn: 107.8 mm)
• These rains contributed to a steady rise in river levels along the Shabelle and Juba Rivers, though with slight fluctuations
• Flash floods were reported in Mataban (Hiraan) and Baidoa (Bay)
• Northern regions including Somaliland and Puntland remained largely dry.
• The onset of Gu rains has enhanced soil moisture and supported crop germination in the south, though persistent dry spells and high temperatures in the north continue to stress livelihoods and natural resources.
Forecast Highlight:
• Widespread light to moderate rainfall is expected over the southern and central parts of Somalia, particularly in the Lower Juba, Middle Juba, Bay, and Lower Shabelle regions
• These rains are expected to contribute to further improvements in vegetation and water availability in the south
• Meanwhile, most parts of Somaliland and Puntland are likely to remain dry
• Ongoing high temperatures may sustain severe drought and heat stress, particularly in Puntland and parts of northern Somalia