Attachments
Review Summary:
- The second week of April marked the onset of Gu rains in southern parts of the country
- Widespread light rains were generally observed in Somalia with moderate intensities in the northern parts of the country
- A steady rise was observed along the Shabelle River as a result of light to moderate rains over the central catchments within the country
- A sharp rise in the level of the Juba River has been reported as a result of rains at Doolow and Luuq
Forecast Highlight:
- Moderate to heavy rains are expected over Bay and Bakool regions and parts of Hiraan region with chances of flash floods in vulnerable areas
- Light rains are likely over the rest of the country except over most parts of Puntland and Awdal region where dry conditions are likely to prevail
- Although the performance of Gu rains has a weak connection with El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the weakening of La Niña during March and April seems to have favored normal rains at the start of the season
- Regional factors and intraseasonal atmospheric influences are likely to be favoring this increased rainfall in the region
Weather Review
In the last one-week (8 - 14 April 2025), widespread light rains were generally observed in Somalia with moderate intensities in the northern parts of the country. Moderate rains above 50 mm were observed in the following stations: Uusgure (87.5 mm) and Qardho (65.0 mm) in Bari region, Galkacayo (72.0 mm) in Mudug region, Lascanod (60.0 mm) in Togdheer region and Dollow (54.8 mm) in Gedo region. Light rains of below 50 mm was observed in the following stations: Baki (49.0 mm), Dhahar (38 mm) in Sanaag region; Magaalo Cad (3.0 mm) and Qulujeed (3.0 mm) in Awdal region; Buur Hakaba (48 mm) in Bay region; Balcad (40.5 mm) in Middle Shabelle region; Bulo Burte (37.5 mm), Mataban (35.0 mm), Mahas (27.8 mm) and Beledweyne (5.5 mm) in Hiraan region; Baydhaba (37.3 mm) and Qansax-dhere (36.9 mm) in Bay region; Bardhere (35.0 mm) in Gedo region, Ballidhig (32.0 mm), Xudun (29.6 mm), Oodweyne (20.0 mm), Widhwidh (18.4 mm) and Buhoodle (4.2 mm) in Togdheer region; Buran (28.0 mm), Badhan (12.0 mm) and Baran (2.4 mm) in Sanaag region; Garowe (25.3 mm), Xasbahale (16.0 mm) and Burtinle (8.2 mm) in Nugaal region; Caynabo (25.0 mm) and Taleeh (5.3 mm) in Sool region; Gumburaha (24.0 mm), Aburin (23.3 mm), Balligubadle (12.0 mm) and Gebilley (5.0 mm) in Woqooyi Galbeed region; Kismayo (23.5 mm) in Lower Juba region; Ufayn (37.9 mm), Carmo (15.0 mm), Murcaanyo (12.0 mm), Dangoroyo (10.6 mm), Balli Dhidin (8.4 mm) and Iskushuban (3.0 mm) in in Bari region; Buaalle (7 mm) in Middle Juba region; and Jariiban (5.0 mm) in Mudug region.
A steady rise was observed along the Shabelle River as a result of light to moderate rains over the central catchments within the country with some rain water accumulation reported at Mataban. A sharp rise in the level of the Juba River has been reported as a result of rains at Doolow, Luuq and adjusted areas.