Somalia: Post-Deyr 2012 Food Security and Nutrition Outlook, January - June 2013
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Download document Despite improvements, more than one million likely to remain in Crisis through June 2013
KEY MESSAGES
- As a result of positive impact of the good Deyr rains on livestock and crop performance and continued humanitarian assistance, the number of people in Crisis and Emergency (IPC Phases 3 and 4) has halved to 1.05 million. Even so, malnutrition rates in Somalia remain among the highest in the world, according to surveys conducted in October - December 2012. Humanitarian assistance to protect livelihoods, reduce acute malnutrition, and help the most food insecure populations meet their food needs is still necessary.
- With the onset of the January to March harsh Jilaal dry season, livestock productivity will seasonally decrease, but no major changes in food security classification are expected between now and June. However, livelihoods in Somalia remain at risk to a wide variety of hazards such as limited water access.
- Early forecasts are that the March to May Gu rains will be normal to below normal in terms of total rainfall. However, if total seasonal rainfall is well below average or very poorly distributed unlike in the early forecast, the food insecure population is likely to increase. The primary areas affected would likely be the maize growing, agropastoral areas of the South.