Attachments
Emergency type: Conflict, Drought, Floods, and Diseases outbreak (AWD/Cholera, Measles, Covid-19 )
Reporting period: SEPTEMBER 2023
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
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About 4.3 million people likely to experience high level of acute food insecurity; 1.5 million children likely to suffer from acute malnutrition.
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Driven by El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) conditions, above average rainfall is likely during the October to December Deyr season in most of the country.
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El Niño rains will likely result in flooding, population displacement, compromising WASH practices, increased risk of diseases outbreaks, damage to infrastructure, reduced access to health facilities and outreach services, particularly in riverine areas.
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Insecurity/conflict is likely to persist and adversely affect populations in central/ southern regions & in Lascanod.
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The health cluster has a shortfall of 65% per cent of the US$197.7 million required to provide lifesaving services in 2023.
Situation Updates
The 2023 Post Gu integrated food security phase classification (IPC) analysis shows that despite some improvements, current and projected levels of acute food insecurity and malnutrition remain high in Somalia. The trend in the total number of people in need of urgent humanitarian assistance (Crisis or worse/IPC Phase3+) in Somalia is increasing. 3.7 million people (22 per cent) are in Crisis or worse (IPC Phase 3 and higher) and require urgent humanitarian assistance. Out of this total, 0.9 million (5 per cent) are in IPC Phase 4 (Emergency) and 2.8 million (16 per cent) are in IPC Phase 3 (Crisis). During the projection period (October - December 2023), 4.2 million people (25 per cent) face Crisis or worse (IPC Phase 3 and higher) and require urgent humanitarian assistance. Out of this total, nearly 1 million (6 per cent) people face IPC Phase 4 (emergency) and 3.2 million (19 per cent) people face IPC Phase 3 (Crisis). Approximately 1.5 million children under 5 face acute malnutrition between August 2023 and July 2024 (total acute malnutrition burden), including 330,630 who may be severely malnourished.
Driven by El Niño and positive IOD (Indian Ocean Dipole) conditions, above average rainfall is likely during the October to December Deyr season in most of the country. El Niño rains will likely result in flooding (mainly in riverine and lowlying areas), population displacement and damage to infrastructure. In riverine areas, flooding due to El Niño rains may increase disease burden such as acute watery diarrhoea, cholera, malaria, and acute respiratory tract infections (ARI) among children and compromise hygiene and sanitation. Displacements may also contribute to increased protection issues including Gender-based violence (GBV). Furthermore, in most central and southern part of Somalia, the expected deterioration in acute malnutrition is due to anticipated concurrent shocks (flood, cholera, and conflict) in Afmadow, Baydaba, Xudur, Wanla Weyne, Jowhar, Jalalaski, Bule Burto, Belet Weyne. In some of these districts, access to treatment for moderate and severe acute malnutrition among children is already low and likely to remain low or worsen as the projection period progresses.