In 2024, the humanitarian situation in Somalia saw slight improvements as compared to previous years, marked by a devastating drought (2020-23) and severe flooding (late 2023). This reversed the increasing trend of people affected by climate shocks leading to internal displacement. For the first time in years, conflict-generated insecurity was the leading cause (52%) for internal displacement, as inter-clan fighting escalated in Mudug and Gedo regions. However, the increased frequency of cyclical drought and floods strains coping capacities and resilience of millions of Somalis. Below-aver age Deyr rains (Oct-Dec), essential for crop pr oduction, raise alarm for drought and humanitarian needs in 2025.Against this backdr op, the 2025 HNRP:
- Outlines 5.98 million people are in need of humanitarian assistance (13% reduction from 2024), based on a comprehensive analysis focused on people affected by shocks.
- Focuses on lifesaving and life-sustaining assistance for people with the most sever e levels of needs, 4.6 million people will be targeted for assistance.
- Incorporates humanitarian response gaps analysis into the inter-cluster prioritization methodology, r einforcing commitments to leave no one behind
- Requires US$1.42 billion to assist Somalis, including vulnerable gr oups such as women, children, elderly, persons with disabilities and minorities.
- Plans for contingency against risks projections for 2025, that could lead to a rapid deterioration of needs.
- Outlines Key risks for 2025 as drought and conflict. Drier conditions will increase competition over resources, strain copying mechanisms,heighten risks for disease outbreaks. Conflict accounted for 52% of a total of 476,000 newly displaced people, while climate shocks accounted for the vast majority of displacements in 2023 and 2022. In 2025, the changing footprint of regional forces may fuel armed conflict.
- Advocates for scaled-up development and climate financing to address the structural drivers of needs, build resilience, reduce the risk of future disasters and adapt to climate change.
- Guides the humanitarian system towards an integrated response decentralizing coordination and fostering systematic engagement in vulnerability-based targeting.
Disclaimer
- UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs
- To learn more about OCHA's activities, please visit https://www.unocha.org/.