Somalia IPC Post Deyr Analysis Overview
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IPC Analysis process: The 2023 Post Deyr IPC AFI/AMN analysis was organized by the IPC Core Group. The IPC Global Support Unit (GSU) provided technical support throughout the analysis.
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Participation: 168 participants drawn from 61 institutions: Government Institutions (FGS, FMSs and Somaliland) – 77,
Local Universities (UOH, PSU) – 4, UN (Agencies, Funds and Programmes) – 46, Local and International NGOs – 26, and other Technical Partners (FEWS NET, REACH , IPC GSU) – 11 -
Unit of analysis: Livelihoods zones in rural areas, internally displaced population groups and urban populations groups across Somalia
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Analysis period was determined considering seasonality of food security and nutrition outcomes in Somalia:
• IPC AFI Current: January-March 2024 (Jilaal)
• IPC AMN Current: October 2023-February 2024
• IPC AFI Projection: April-June 2024 (Gu)
• IPC AMN Projection: March-June 2024
- Population Analysed - 18,706,931 total population of Somalia, used of humanitarian planning purposes for 2024 Source: OCHA). This is updated estimate, revised from 16,955,266 total population used in the 2023 Post Gu IPC analysis)
• Levels of acute food insecurity and malnutrition remain high despite some improvements; humanitarian assistance urgently required for Food Security, Nutrition, Health, and WASH programmes, including the treatment of acutely malnourished children
• Current (January-March 2024): 4 million people (21%) of the population in Crisis or worse (IPC Phase 3 and higher)
• Projection (April-June 2024): 3.4 million people (18%) of total population face Crisis or worse (IPC Phase 3 and higher)
• Approximately 1.7 million children under the age of five years face acute malnutrition between January-December 2024 (total acute malnutrition burden), including 430 000 who are likely to be severely malnourished.
• Key drivers of acute food insecurity include adverse impacts of El-Nino related heavy rains and flooding, erratic rainfall, early cessation of Dey rains affecting agropastoral areas; extended impact of previous droughts in pastoral areas, including low milk availability and access, anticipated flooding in riverine areas during the forthcoming Gu season, persistent conflict and insecurity, and limited humanitarian assistance.
• Contributing factors to acute malnutrition include poor food access, high disease burden, low coverage of health and nutrition services. poor access to improved drinking water and sanitation, poor child feeding practices