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Somalia

NRC Somalia Country Office Programme Update No. 5 (30 September 2024)

Attachments

Key Highlights

• Drought A looming multi-seasonal drought, with a high probability of La Niña conditions (75-85% likelihood), threatens to exacerbate the already fragile food security and agricultural production in Somalia. Below-average rainfall and abovenormal temperatures are expected through late 2024 and early 2025.

• Food Insecurity: Currently, 3.6 million people are facing Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or worse levels of food insecurity. This number is projected to rise to 4.4 million by the end of 2024, driven by poor crop yields, reduced pasture, and high livestock mortality.

• Displacement: Conflict, flooding, and drought have forced over 347,000 people in Somalia to flee their homes in 2024. Conflict remains the primary driver, displacing over 161,000, followed by flooding (over 124,000). This brings the total number of people living in protracted displacement to a staggering 3.8 million, many of whom lack access to basic services.

• Evictions: Somalia's prolonged conflict has led to widespread displacement, with over 1.7 million IDPs experiencing forced evictions since 2015, including 98,000 in 2024 alone, as weak governance and fragmented legal systems complicate access to HLP rights and justice, particularly in urban centers like Mogadishu, Baidoa, and Kismayo (Somalia: Joint Advocacy Paper | September 2024).

• Cholera Outbreak: An ongoing cholera outbreak in Somalia has affected 19,426 people and caused 138 deaths in 2024. Week 39 saw 218 new cases, with 76% classified as severe and majority affecting children under five.

• Funding Gap: The 2024 Humanitarian Response Plan for Somalia faces a significant funding gap. Only $593.9 million (37.5%) of the required $1.59 billion has been secured, leaving a $991.4 million shortfall that threatens to undermine critical humanitarian efforts.

• Humanitarian Response: NRC Somalia has provided vital assistance to over 367,000 people this year. This, included over 243,000 reached through an integrated emergency response since January, providing critical first-line support to those most in need. In September alone, the emergency response reached over 7,500 people.