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Somalia

NRC Somalia Country Office Programme Update No. 21 (31st January 2026)

Attachments

Key Highlights

• Deepening drought emergency: Failed Deyr and harsh Jilaal have left 4.61M affected, including ~490,730 displaced, with ~4.4M in IPC 3+; water systems failing (171 boreholes non-functional), rivers drying, crop and livestock losses widespread.
January alone Protection Solution Monitoring Network (PSMN) recorded 174,892 displacements, with 161,494 drought-related and sustained high monthly drought displacement over the past three months.

• Escalating humanitarian needs: 4.8M people in need of humanitarian assistance, including 1.85M acutely malnourished children; livelihoods collapsing, schools closing, and disease risks rising amid severe water shortages and overcrowded displacement sites.

• Shrinking response capacity: HNRP targets only 2.4M people or 4.8M in need; the funding cuts by major donors are reducing food, cash, WASH, health and protection coverage during peak vulnerability, with lifesaving assistance projected to decline in quarter 2 of 2026.

• The April–May 2026 Gu rains have only a 40% chance of being near-normal, and high temperatures with a possible late onset may slow the recovery of pasture, crops, and water sources. Political uncertainty ahead of the May transition could divert government attention, disrupt coordination, and slow decision-making. Together, these factors may constrain humanitarian access and delay recovery efforts across Somalia.

• In January 2026, NRC Somalia scaled up its drought response, reaching 29,558 people, including 12,450 supported under BRCiS (FCDO/SIDA) through integrated cash, food, and water assistance.
ECHO and SDC funding through the Somalia Cash Consortium is enabling MPCA support for 6,000 people on a rolling basis, 1,800 minority individuals affected by the Jamame conflict, and nutrition referrals linked to the Kismayo Stabilisation Centre