Attachments
Key Highlights
• Displacement is escalating, with 104,000 people newly displaced in November 2025 and 463,000 since January, driven by conflict, insecurity, and drought. As internal options shrink, cross-border movements are rising, with 25,600 movements in October, 75% outbound, mainly to Ethiopia and Kenya.
• Forced evictions are compounding risks. By late October, over 180,000 displaced people had been forcibly evicted, triggering repeated displacement and the destruction of shelters, schools, and water points.
• Food insecurity and malnutrition remain severe, with 3.4 million people currently acutely food insecure.
Projections show 4.4 million people (23%) will face Crisis (IPC 3) or worse, including expanding Emergency (IPC 4) conditions. Meanwhile, 1.85 million children are acutely malnourished, 421,000 of them severely.
• Drought is dismantling livelihoods. Dried water sources, collapsed pasture, livestock losses, and crop failure are driving up food and water prices and eroding household purchasing power.
• Political instability is intensifying humanitarian risk, with stalled elections, federal–state tensions, counter -insurgency operations, and clan violence fueling insecurity, displacement, and access constraints.
• Response capacity is shrinking as needs peak. More than 70 per cent of NGOs have been affected by funding cuts, with some reporting staff layoffs of up to 65 per cent. This is forcing life-saving programmes to scale down or suspend operations.
• Somalia is nearing a dangerous humanitarian tipping point. Without urgent, flexible action, the country risks entering 2026 with entrenched displacement, expanding Emergency levels of food insecurity, acute malnutrition, and a regionalised humanitarian crisis.
• By October 2025, NRC had reached 520,408 people, with 87% (454,903) of assistance focused on emergency response. This included FLER and multipurpose cash for 179,889 people, while 169,396 people were assisted in hard-to-reach areas.