Somalia + 5 more

Horn of Africa Drought Situation Report No. 16



  • The total number of food insecure people in the Horn of Africa is approximately 8 million people.
    The majority of those in need of humanitarian assistance are in Somalia (2.12 million).

  • The European Commission on Humanitarian Aid and Civil Protection (ECHO) emphasizes that millions of people are still depending on international assistance for their daily sustenance and that funding is still needed, despite eased conditions.

  • Meteorologically, normal to above normal seasonal rains are predicted for much of the Horn region and in some areas of Ethiopia, Kenya and South Sudan, localized flooding has occurred displacing more than 240,000 people.

  • The consensus of the Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF32) is that El Niño weather conditions are developing and likely to continue through early 2013. For East Africa, the presence of El Niño usually indicates wetter than normal conditions during the October to December rains.

  • The excess rainfall should ease conditions in the Horn however, millions of people could return to emergency levels of hunger and malnutrition resulting from the previous planting season’s delayed rainfall combined with the current season’s threat of flooding in crop fields. Furthermore, the inability of many households to recover from 2011 drought conditions continues to threaten food security in much of the region, especially in Somalia where 2.12 million people remain food insecure.