Seasonal forecast for March to May 2019
Rainfall and Temperatures
Most of the Greater Horn of Africa is likely to receive enhanced to normal rains with earlier seasonal rains onset and withdrawal. There is increased likelihood of warmer than normal mean surface temperatures over much of the northern and eastern regions with cooler to near normal temperatures over the western parts of the region. Good rains in several parts of the equatorial sector will bring relief to agriculture and livestock sectors especially in areas such as central and south eastern Kenya and southern parts of Ethiopia that performed poorly during October, November, December 2018. The notable area is central and western coast of Somalia that consecutively performed poorly.